[00:00] the following content is provided under [00:02] a Creative Commons license your support [00:05] will help MIT OpenCourseWare continue to [00:07] offer high quality educational resources [00:09] for free [00:10] to make a donation or to view additional [00:12] materials from hundreds of MIT courses [00:14] visit MIT opencourseware at ocw.mit.edu [00:21] welcome welcome if you have a desire to [00:26] learn a little bit about blockchain and [00:28] its intersection with the world of [00:30] finance and money and you're looking for [00:32] 15 . s 12 you're in the right place if [00:37] you're here to not do that and just hang [00:40] out and have a good time I guess you [00:43] still hopefully are in the right place [00:44] because we're gonna have a good time [00:46] this semester my name is Gary Gensler [00:48] I'm a senior lecturer here at MIT Sloan [00:52] I'm also an advisor over at the MIT [00:55] Media Lab and I've spent a lifetime [00:58] around the world of finance and money [01:01] and public policy and I've been at MIT [01:05] this last eight months and we're gonna [01:08] learn a lot together about blockchain [01:10] and money we're gonna have a little bit [01:13] of fun here and see what we're gonna do [01:14] so we're talking about blockchain and [01:16] money that's where we are by the way I [01:20] do cold call I do call on use if you [01:24] want to leave now I understand because I [01:28] want to have an interaction a little bit [01:31] about it so my first question for the [01:32] class for everyone whether registered or [01:34] not how many of you have ever owned a [01:37] cryptocurrency wait wait let's see the [01:41] yacht's it seems like it's about 45% of [01:45] you or so all right Livan you want to [01:50] keep your hand up long and how many of [01:57] you have ever worked on any blockchain [01:59] related projects in an entrepreneurial [02:01] setting or corporate setting anywhere [02:04] all right good [02:06] so a better third in the room good all [02:11] right so you all know probably more than [02:13] I do [02:14] but I'm gonna give it a shot I'm gonna [02:18] always start every week with what are [02:19] the study questions for the week how [02:22] many of you actually got the syllabus [02:23] this is not gonna be graded assignment I [02:25] just have to have a sense of who's who [02:27] actually got this syllabus so good many [02:29] of you and how many of you actually did [02:32] the two readings it's not graded I just [02:34] got [02:34] gage the class oh thank you thank you [02:37] right those grades down by the way no no [02:40] all right so the two main questions for [02:43] this week's lecture really is what is [02:46] blockchain and why might it be a [02:48] catalyst and I emphasize the word [02:50] might it be a catalyst for change in the [02:52] world of finance we could talk about a [02:54] lot about things outside of the world of [02:56] finance and blockchain may indeed have a [02:59] lot of applications outside of Finance [03:01] but I've chosen to try to just narrow [03:04] the scope a bit so this semester is [03:06] really about blockchain and money or [03:09] blockchain and finance and secondly you [03:12] will see index cards on every one of [03:15] these round tables one assignment by the [03:18] end of the class you could do it now or [03:21] later I would like each of you to [03:23] anonymously write on the court what you [03:26] want to achieve in this semester it [03:29] could be anything from this class from [03:31] learning about blockchain from making [03:33] money on Bitcoin from I don't care if [03:36] you tell me it's meeting your future [03:37] spouse I just like what do you want to [03:40] achieve in this class I can't help you [03:43] on the third but I will try to help you [03:46] hone the things I can help you ID and [03:48] Sabrina and Toledo will collect them [03:51] later and next Tuesday will tell you the [03:53] results what is it that you want to [03:55] achieve in this class and then we'll see [03:58] at the end of the semester if we've done [03:59] that so that's just a way to help guide [04:03] me help you so that's that's what we're [04:08] trying to do and so what were the two [04:10] readings one was a little thing I did [04:13] and one was a thing I did with some of [04:15] my colleagues and Tom since I know you [04:19] would you take out of the readings [04:29] did you have a good summer did you raise [04:32] your head did you own Bitcoin know who [04:37] in the class read the readings and took [04:39] something different than Tom he said [04:41] there was potential and your first name [04:58] okay how many agreed with the line this [05:04] is a vote [05:05] they're just two or three how many grids [05:07] with Tom there's more and how many of [05:11] you're too shy on the first day to put [05:13] your hands up most so I'm going to start [05:17] and go back the internet how do I sort [05:20] of I've come about this and sort of [05:21] thought about well what is the WAP chain [05:23] what is it really about well the [05:25] internet started many decades ago before [05:28] most of you were born [05:29] but 1974 I mean there's some [05:32] predecessors even from the late 60s the [05:35] ethernet which is really how two [05:37] computers communicate and then you had [05:40] tcp/ip which was really the Internet [05:43] Protocol of multiple computers compute [05:47] that talking to each other and then [05:52] later on in 1990 how do we move forward [05:56] does anybody know what HTTP is we're at [05:59] MIT your first name would be helpful [06:01] Erik Erik it's a protocol for [06:05] communicate with content web content [06:09] hypertext Transfer Protocol eek anybody [06:25] know who's associated with tcp/ip [06:32] it was a company initiated by MIT I [06:41] don't know if it was a company in Sochi [06:44] over there mighty but Vince Cerf may [06:47] have had some association with it mighty [06:51] so these are the first three layers and [06:54] then there were companies [06:54] commercialization 3com and cisco and of [06:57] course amazon it's still around today [07:00] but there was something else going on [07:02] how do we commercialize the internet [07:04] does anybody know what this scene is [07:06] from good thought good thought first [07:15] pizza sold by Bitcoin but no all right [07:22] movie hackers the net do you know have [07:27] you ever seen the movie it's not a good [07:28] movie so this is the opening scene of [07:33] the net and yes that's Sandra Bullock [07:35] and the years 1995 [07:39] it's a cyber thriller you know a [07:43] president's involved the Defense [07:45] Department's involved and so forth but [07:48] actually Pizza Hut is associated with [07:50] the very first sale online sale anywhere [07:55] in the world they started something [07:57] called pizza night this was the screen [07:59] by the way if you wanted to go on you [08:01] could order your pizza and and but there [08:06] was one problem does anybody know what [08:07] the problem with was Pizza net I mean [08:10] maybe there were multiple problems no [08:13] Ilana I've caught on you you couldn't [08:16] pay online nobody figured out how to [08:18] move money online you had to pay when [08:21] you showed up with the pizza so now I'm [08:24] going to talk a little bit about [08:25] cryptography we're going to spend a lot [08:27] of time on cryptography it's crypto [08:29] currencies and the like what's your name [08:34] Gigi Gigi Gigi what's cryptography [08:44] cryptic all right now you got it you got [08:46] to start there anybody want to help GE [08:49] out does anybody want to help you yeah [08:52] tell me your first name we're gonna ask [08:54] we're gonna figure out how to have [08:56] everybody have name plates by next week [08:58] but we will work with Ryan and do it [09:00] that way so it's how do you encrypt [09:17] something so it's not detectable by [09:19] others or in essence it's communications [09:22] in the presence of adversaries you have [09:26] an adversary who wants the communication [09:29] you want to communicate and not let your [09:31] adversaries know that communication and [09:34] this is this is true for ancient times [09:37] so in ancient times there was something [09:40] called the cypher and this was a way [09:42] that you take a piece of leather or [09:43] Peetha cloth and have a lot of letters [09:46] and both sides [09:49] you'd encrypt and decrypt because there [09:52] were different measurements of the [09:55] cylinder has anybody seen the movie [09:58] imitation games all right [10:02] the Enigma machine now it the movie was [10:06] wonderful because it said Turin cracked [10:08] it and he did help crack it in an [10:11] automated way but actually the Polish [10:13] government had cracked it in the 1930s [10:16] before they fell to the Germans but and [10:19] and touring built on all of that and [10:21] cracked it further and then in the 1970s [10:25] and this was here at MIT to some extent [10:28] there's private key public key [10:30] cryptography which I'm not going to dive [10:33] into today but it's it's the heart of [10:36] Bitcoin and blockchain it's at the heart [10:39] of the Internet but it's about the key [10:43] thing is communications in the presence [10:45] of adversaries how do you keep a secret [10:48] when everybody wants in and get that [10:50] information [10:51] and there's a long history and mi t--'s [10:55] at the center of a lot of that a lot of [10:59] early cryptography failed on the [11:02] Internet in the early 90s and late 80s [11:04] David cha and others tried to do things [11:06] and we're not going to debate these [11:07] today but you'll have one reading I [11:10] think it's either next week which will [11:13] give you that history and it's [11:15] worthwhile knowing about the history of [11:16] failure but cryptography is the reason [11:21] why the internet works today does [11:22] anybody want to tell me what SSL and TLS [11:26] is do we have any computer scientists [11:29] remember your first name encryption [11:39] using symmetric keys which is public key [11:42] cryptography [11:45] right so it basically uses asymmetric [11:49] cryptography which we're going to talk [11:51] about two lectures from now but it [11:54] secures the whole Internet so all of a [12:00] sudden you could deliver the pizza and [12:02] get a passcode and I have to tell you I [12:05] never knew how this worked before I was [12:07] at MIT so PayPal came along in 1998 I [12:13] mentioned this a whole bunch of other [12:15] digital currencies then failed but some [12:21] of these people who will read later like [12:23] will read Nick Sabo's piece on smart [12:26] contracts later Adam back who created [12:29] hash cash some of these innovations were [12:33] what Satoshi Nakamoto later used some [12:38] innovations which were really helpful [12:40] and worked where a leap a and M paisa [12:43] does anybody know what M pace is in [12:53] essence they found out in Kenya this was [12:58] ten twelve years ago that people were [13:00] trading mobile minutes they were [13:02] unbanked but they had cellular phone [13:05] and they were trading their minutes as a [13:07] form of currency and Safaricom realized [13:10] that and said way we could help people [13:13] be part of the digital economy even if [13:16] they're unbanked and in Africa today 1/2 [13:20] of the adult population according to [13:23] world bag figures is still unbanked but [13:26] half of that half has mobile phones and [13:32] pace has 20 million customers in Kenya [13:35] right now so it's a it's a form of money [13:38] that's kind of swapping mobile minutes [13:42] but the riddle remained how do you move [13:44] money on the internet where in essence [13:46] how do you move value peer-to-peer [13:48] without a centralized intermediary and [13:51] that's the core of blockchain technology [13:56] so who solved the riddle and they're [14:00] ready to tell me who solved the riddle [14:02] who solved this riddle now have you you [14:09] you're wearing a t-shirt that says [14:10] Quentin Tarantino so I think Quentin [14:13] Tarantino should solve over it all [14:14] what's that what's your name so a [14:23] peer-to-peer cash this is the actual doc [14:25] top of an email that was sent out on [14:27] Halloween 2008 by Satoshi Nakamoto we [14:35] don't actually know who's Satoshi [14:37] Nakamoto is but it's a study question a [14:40] few lectures from now to ask you to tell [14:43] me who you think Satoshi Nakamoto is so [14:45] I won't ask that now and he started with [14:49] a very simple sentence in his email I've [14:52] been working on a new electronic cash [14:54] system that fully peer-to-peer with no [14:58] trusted third party it's kind of a [15:01] modest statement and so the question is [15:06] is this another internet layer we're [15:10] gonna explore that this whole semester I [15:12] don't I don't really have the answer I [15:14] don't think the best minds at MIT could [15:18] really yet tell you [15:19] there are some who are maximalist and [15:22] say yes it will be and there are others [15:26] who will say no no no and in this course [15:28] we're gonna we're gonna review the [15:30] minimalist and the maximalist we're not [15:31] we're not kind of try to Center it in [15:33] one place but that's the key key kind of [15:36] question so what is a blockchain we're [15:40] gonna do this in a lot of lectures but [15:42] I'm gonna try to do it in this short [15:44] version so it's time-stamped append logs [15:48] meaning you can add a little bit of [15:50] information to this and it's [15:53] time-stamped so these are these blocks [15:56] being added Satoshi did not invent [16:01] blockchain there's way earlier does [16:06] anybody want to guess what what it was [16:08] you're gonna have a reading about this [16:10] later but early 1990s what's that Midori [16:19] Stuart Haber Stuart Haysbert worked for [16:23] Bell Labs right so one of your [16:26] assignments it's not gonna be a gray to [16:27] decide which it's gonna be a fun [16:29] assignment could any of you I'm gonna [16:32] say by next Thursday just have some fun [16:35] find the longest and timewise longest [16:39] running blockchain it's not Bitcoin and [16:43] it's been running since the mid 90s and [16:46] your clue is the New York Times and [16:51] we'll discuss it next Thursday but this [16:55] time stamped block block block block of [17:01] data creates a database an auditable [17:04] database and we'll talk about Ledger's [17:07] particularly next week but we'll talk [17:09] about Ledger's all throughout this [17:10] course and how it changes the world of [17:12] Finance [17:13] now it's secured by cryptography because [17:15] cryptography remembers communications [17:18] and making sure adversaries can't pick [17:20] you off we're gonna learn about hash [17:22] functions and hash functions that are a [17:24] really important part of cryptography [17:26] and initially for databases and how to [17:30] search and store information and [17:32] database [17:33] but in this circumstances hash functions [17:36] were the way to not only append the next [17:40] block to the prior blocks but really [17:44] importantly to compress data to make it [17:48] more manipulatable and to verify it and [17:51] as I've written here tamper resistance [17:54] and the integrity digital signatures [17:57] which has to do the public key private [17:59] key cryptography there is no [18:01] prerequisite of this course you do not [18:03] have had to have taken computer science [18:05] cryptography algorithms if I could learn [18:09] a little bit about hash functions and [18:11] asymmetric cryptography these are the [18:15] two key important sides and will we have [18:20] enough computer scientists in this room [18:22] that can sort us out if I say the wrong [18:24] thing right mid doors hopefully and then [18:30] consensus so there's a really important [18:33] part of blockchain is how do you decide [18:36] who appends that next block because when [18:39] I went back here [18:40] there's block or block each of these [18:42] blocks somebody has to decide who [18:44] appends who gets to pick the next block [18:46] and that's what's called consensus [18:49] protocol and there's why debates about [18:51] consensus protocol and will talk a lot [18:54] about consensus protocol but in essence [18:57] it addresses something a term called the [18:59] cost of trust and we'll talk about [19:01] Byzantine generals problems which is [19:03] another reading the Byzantine generals [19:05] problem was laid out as a sort of [19:07] mathematical game theory issue some [19:10] thirty as years ago that's what Satoshi [19:16] Nakamoto solved was this last part that [19:19] the Byzantine generals problem pizza for [19:23] bitcoins a year and a half after Satoshi [19:28] Nakamoto laid out blockchain Bitcoin [19:33] somebody sends an email and you'll get [19:36] these slides but this is the real live [19:38] email I'll pay you 10,000 bitcoins for a [19:40] couple of pizzas I I just want some [19:44] pizzas the guy who sent this [19:46] he says I like onions peppers sausage [19:48] mushrooms Lazlo [19:51] now catch the date this is May 18th and [19:54] he's offering 10,000 bitcoins of 2010 [19:59] but the key line is what I'm aiming for [20:03] is getting food deliver in exchange for [20:05] bitcoins nobody had used bitcoins as a [20:08] medium of exchange 16 months into its [20:11] existence nobody had used it to buy [20:14] something and Laszlo is a computer [20:16] scientist in Florida was just kind of [20:18] interested and he put this out on an [20:21] email list three days later he still [20:26] doesn't have his two pizzas so nobody [20:29] wants to buy me a pizza is the Bitcoin [20:30] amount I'm offering too low another day [20:35] goes by he gets his pizzas and he post [20:39] pictures so here's a picture of his [20:42] child reaching for those Papa John's [20:44] pizzas anybody know what those 10,000 [20:50] bitcoins were worth back in back then [20:52] Chicago anybody want to say back then [20:59] what's that $41 and last I was saying [21:05] two pizzas are probably worth 25 to 30 [21:07] because there's a whole email thread he [21:09] kept saying why won't anybody get me my [21:11] pizzas you could make money on this [21:14] today or earlier late yet last night 66 [21:19] million dollars [21:21] yeah so it's a cute story may 22nd every [21:27] year is called pizza day or Bitcoin [21:31] pizza day or something so so what is [21:33] block taint technology these are my [21:35] words but they're sort of picked from [21:37] the literature and so forth it [21:39] verifiably moves data on a decentralized [21:42] network and the economics of blockchain [21:44] technology are really around that [21:46] verification and the economics of [21:49] verification and the economics of [21:52] networking and in many ways blockchain [21:56] adds certain costs to the verification [22:00] through this consensus protocol that [22:02] we'll be studying but it lowers some [22:05] other costs of verification because [22:07] you're not relying on a centralized [22:09] Authority so it's really a trade-off of [22:11] cost of verification I don't think it's [22:14] I'm not a purist that says it's better [22:16] or worse but it's it's a trade-off of [22:18] costs of verification through [22:20] decentralized networks the data can be [22:24] value like Bitcoin was a money system [22:27] where the data can be actually computer [22:30] code and we'll learn a lot about smart [22:34] contracts and you could have the data [22:36] being verified computer code and [22:39] algorithms my world finance this [22:44] directly goes to the plumbing of Finance [22:46] because finance is fundamentally about [22:49] moving money and risk through a network [22:52] and that network is the seven billion [22:55] people that live on this world it's [22:58] moving money and risk and you've all [23:02] taken finance courses or many of you [23:04] have and it's the intermediating of [23:07] money and risk throughout our economy [23:11] but there's a whole host of challenges [23:13] and over the course of this semester [23:16] we'll talk about this challenges [23:17] technical commercial and public policy [23:19] hurdles will they be solved will they [23:23] not be solved but it could be a catalyst [23:27] but we're not sure yet [23:30] for change in the world of money and [23:32] Finance so does anybody want to tell me [23:35] the role of money in society and tell me [23:43] your first name come on Tomas between [23:50] people all right medium of exchange got [23:53] that one somebody give me a second [23:59] yellow shirt savings all right so that [24:05] would be a store of value yeah [24:06] third I'm sorry the gentleman here Wow [24:12] all right there we go there we go so [24:17] we're gonna spend some time next Tuesday [24:19] talking more about money and the role of [24:21] money in the history of money which i [24:24] think is sort of lays a foundational [24:26] piece of this what about the role of [24:29] Finance I've already sort of said a few [24:31] things about that but and I'm sorry I [24:36] don't know your name but I'm right here [24:38] the woman yeah role of Finance sorry I'm [24:45] not going to tell any financial finance [24:47] professor what your answer is to raise [24:51] money so keep going I'm gonna anybody [24:57] else want it can connect savers and [25:00] borrowers connect savers and bars so [25:03] connecting is sort of moving money [25:05] moving valuations so that's the pieces [25:12] of it sort of moving making valuations I [25:15] use the words moving allocating and [25:17] pricing pricing is the valuations of [25:20] money well let's not forget it's also [25:24] about risk when you buy insurance [25:26] that's a transference of risk when you [25:29] buy an equity stock that's a [25:30] transference of risk if you enter into a [25:34] complex credit default swap it's a [25:36] transference of risk so finance is not [25:39] just the movement of money it's the [25:41] movement of risk as well throughout the [25:46] economy and I always think finance I [25:50] always I've thought this when I was at [25:53] Goldman Sachs for 18 years that finance [25:55] sits at the neck of an hourglass and [25:58] it's why it collects so much economic [26:01] rents from society because when you sit [26:04] at the neck of an hourglass and billions [26:07] literally trillions of grains of sand go [26:10] by if you collect some of those grains [26:14] of sand you get uber wealth and that's [26:20] those are for other classes but finance [26:22] can collect a lot of economic rents the [26:26] financial sector though has a bunch of [26:27] challenges we'll have one lecture later [26:29] in the semester about some of those [26:31] challenges and we have a reading I think [26:33] sheila bair wrote something recently [26:35] that I asked you all to read later in [26:36] the semester but we'll talk about the [26:38] financial crisis and some of the [26:40] problems but it's had a lot of crises [26:42] fiat currencies have a lot of what [26:44] instabilities of course we have [26:47] centralized intermediaries as I laid out [26:51] and we'll talk about collect a lot of [26:52] economic rents so there's there's [26:55] opportunity blockchain has real [26:57] opportunity to kind of come under this [27:00] world of Finance and maybe do some [27:02] things better central banking also have [27:05] a bunch of legacy payment systems and [27:07] there's legacy payment systems or slowly [27:10] adapting but it's slow and why did Ally [27:15] pay do so well in China is part of the [27:18] story because there were so many [27:19] unbanked just like m-pesa in Kenya but [27:22] here in the US we still pay 2 and a half [27:25] to 3 percent for our interchange charges [27:28] for Visa MasterCard and the like and a [27:32] lot of clearing and settlement still has [27:34] a lot of counterparty risk and one that [27:37] I care deeply about Financial Inclusion [27:39] there's still 1 point 7 billion people [27:41] in this world who are unbanked and so we [27:45] don't think of it as much in the [27:46] developed countries [27:47] but it's certainly true in many products [27:51] even here in the US and these are to me [27:55] the opportunities finance is 7 and a [27:58] half percent of the US economy that's [28:00] one and a half trillion dollars of [28:01] revenues so any of you that are thinking [28:04] about entrepreneurial opportunities the [28:08] payment system just here in the US is a [28:10] half a percent to one percent of our [28:11] economy that's 100 to 200 billion [28:14] dollars or revenues [28:15] I think these is about 18 billion just [28:18] you know but if you you know when you [28:20] add up the whole payment system that's a [28:22] hundred to two hundred billion dollars [28:24] in payment revenues so that's kind of [28:26] the opportunity can blockchain [28:28] technology come in it's got problems [28:30] it's slow its its performance issues [28:34] but can it compete with that here are [28:37] some of the problems the financial [28:39] sector would say with blockchain [28:41] these are real live things that we're [28:43] going to study later in the semester [28:44] they say it doesn't have the performance [28:47] scalability a modern payment system you [28:50] need to be able to move about a hundred [28:52] thousand payments a second a modern [28:54] securities clearing the the Depository [28:57] Trust Corporation the Securities and [29:00] Exchange Commission says you do about [29:03] thirty thousand transactions a second [29:05] but we need you to scale and your [29:06] computers and everything have to be [29:08] resilient to a hundred thousand [29:09] transactions a second Bitcoin you can do [29:14] about seven transactions a second visa [29:17] currently depends on the the second does [29:21] anywhere from twenty two seventy [29:22] thousand a second yeah so it's just a [29:25] sense of scalability and performance we [29:28] might get there it might be three to [29:30] seven years away I'm optimistic but [29:33] there's still a bunch of performance and [29:35] scalability issues privacy and security [29:38] blockchains by their nature or public so [29:42] they're not fully censorship resistant [29:44] but there's a lot of innovation about [29:46] making them more private but then that [29:49] makes the public sector a little nervous [29:53] interoperability they don't necessarily [29:55] work yet with other legacy systems or [29:59] with each other the internet one of the [30:01] great innovations of the internet it [30:03] became interoperable that all of these [30:07] different websites could kind of speak [30:08] with each other governance is a very big [30:12] issue we'll talk about and one of the [30:15] things about governance is it's hard to [30:17] update the software of a blockchain [30:21] because if you create a decentralized [30:23] where no one's in control no one can [30:26] collect economic rents you also don't [30:28] have sort of somebody with the ability [30:32] to necessarily update the software and [30:35] we'll talk later about how Bitcoin [30:37] updates its software and what Bitcoin [30:39] core developers are and so forth but [30:43] Facebook you do know one thing though [30:46] there there a company that collects a [30:48] lot of profits and economic rents off of [30:51] their two billion members they know how [30:55] to update their software it's it's a [30:59] governance issue that's a real life [31:02] challenge and that's why the financial [31:05] sector says I'm not sure this works this [31:07] is ready yet for me and then thus what [31:10] are the commercial use cases and what [31:12] are the public policy issues so right [31:15] now the financial sector favors [31:17] permission blockchains versus permission [31:19] list this is going to be about four [31:22] weeks from now we'll kind of go through [31:24] these two differences but I want to just [31:26] frame this briefly permission [31:29] blockchains have a noun group of people [31:31] who actually participate the half of you [31:36] that said you've owned Bitcoin you know [31:38] it to be something where anybody can [31:40] update the ledger permission blockchains [31:43] you can't do that in essence you pick [31:47] the three or twenty the Australian Stock [31:49] Exchange is updating their clearing and [31:51] settling they announced they're doing a [31:53] blockchain project they're doing it with [31:55] digital assets and they're using the [31:59] hyper ledger blockchain which is an IBM [32:02] software open source software but the [32:06] Australian Stock Exchange is going to [32:07] put it on three computers which is [32:10] called three nodes that they control all [32:12] three of them [32:14] the Depository Trust Corporation is [32:17] looking at blockchain inspired solutions [32:19] for some of their data warehouses but [32:22] they too are gonna control the nodes I'm [32:25] just giving it that's permission [32:27] blockchains there's nothing wrong with [32:28] that that's just how they are the [32:30] they're looking at this permissionless [32:33] block chains are like Bitcoin unknown [32:35] participants securities based on [32:36] incentives a crypto currency and crypto [32:40] economics crypto finance is about two [32:44] hundred billion but it you know you have [32:45] to update these slides daily two days [32:47] ago it was two hundred and thirty [32:49] billion and this little pie chart is a [32:55] little over half as Bitcoin the next [32:58] slice is something called if the [33:00] and then ripple and down the line we're [33:02] not going to spend a lot of time in this [33:04] this semester if you if your goal is to [33:07] how can you profit and trade a trade [33:10] Bitcoin and day trade ether god bless go [33:13] prosper you could stay in the class [33:16] I just won't give you much advice on it [33:18] you know this is not a crypto investing [33:22] centered class but I'm okay if that's [33:26] what you're doing does anybody know what [33:29] the worldwide capital market size is [33:32] anybody want to guess you know this is [33:35] 200 billion what's it look like I've [33:38] already said it's modest hundreds of [33:42] trillions global equity about 80 [33:44] trillion global bond and debt markets [33:48] 250 trillion so it's still quite modest [33:54] compared to that broad breadth of [33:56] capital formation and gold [34:01] if bitcoins digital gold what's the [34:04] value of gold all the gold that's ever [34:07] been 7 trillion so just give you sense [34:14] of scale so there's also something [34:17] that's interesting about this space is [34:19] that it's out sized public attention [34:22] even as evidenced by the hundred of you [34:25] in this room versus the size it is real [34:30] relative to the capital markets today [34:32] you know there's a bunch of public [34:35] policy issues we'll have a lecture I'm a [34:37] former regulator I ran the Commodity [34:39] Futures Trading Commission so but this [34:42] course is not about regulation though we [34:44] have to always come back to regulation [34:46] we always have to infuse what we're [34:49] doing with the regulation but let me [34:52] just give you a little framework and [34:53] then you'll have to be bored and a [34:56] handful of weeks and read I gave some [34:58] congressional testimony on it yes it [35:00] will be required reading sorry but it's [35:04] guarding against illicit activity a lot [35:07] of Bitcoin and crypto currencies started [35:11] out in the cyber [35:13] Punk sort of movement and and [35:16] libertarian movement so forth and it is [35:19] true you can use this for illicit [35:21] activity absolutely but I would say [35:24] crime is not new just the mechanisms and [35:27] means are new and and so the criminals [35:31] yes will use this and have used it for a [35:34] listed activity financial stability [35:36] central bankers around the globe sort of [35:39] will this shape finance well it's only [35:42] two hundred billion the financial [35:44] markets are three hundred trillion plus [35:46] not yet is generally what they're saying [35:49] but for some countries it's a way to get [35:52] around capital controls and so for those [35:54] countries worried about capital controls [35:56] it's a very real and live set of issues [35:59] and then protecting the investing public [36:02] and when we do this in a few weeks I'll [36:05] go through each of these the investor [36:07] protection issues and yes the sec how we [36:10] test and and the like for those who wish [36:14] to do their own initial coin off right [36:16] now [36:17] give some you know broad sense of what [36:21] the sec is trying to accomplish but it's [36:24] a moving target so this is a very [36:26] interesting as opposed to many of your [36:27] sloan classes or your c cell classes or [36:30] media lab classes this is a very [36:33] unsettled area of public policy so it [36:36] makes it interesting and and and and if [36:39] you all go off and form companies you [36:41] will actually be helping sort of set the [36:43] the the edge of that public policy of [36:46] debate I had always say just remember [36:49] poet Riley the duck test this is a poet [36:52] Indiana poets those that aren't from the [36:54] US might not know the duck test but [36:56] basically if it quacks like a duck and [36:58] walks like a duck it's a duck so [37:00] whenever you're thinking about public [37:01] policy folks like myself who once was a [37:05] regulator we think in the duck test and [37:09] then we secondarily think about the [37:12] actual words in the congressional act [37:16] you know where's the common sense and if [37:18] it quacks and walks like a duck it's [37:21] probably a security or it's probably [37:24] this or that [37:26] the incumbents like this Linus in the [37:29] corner are eyeing this space because [37:32] there's a lot of volatility and Wall [37:34] Street makes money on volatility [37:36] volatility is the friend of Wall Street [37:38] it might not be the friend of investors [37:40] but it's a friend of Wall Street they [37:42] also like the trading volumes and the [37:44] spreads coinbase the largest crypto [37:48] exchange here in the US has 20 million [37:50] accounts they might not all be active [37:53] but that's the size of Fidelity's [37:55] membership or account list and twice de [37:57] Shaw and Robin Hood how many of you have [38:01] ever used Robin Hood is a trading app [38:03] Wow half of you so you know free trading [38:07] right 5 million members for those who [38:11] don't know you can download Robin Hood [38:13] and you can trade stocks for free [38:16] no Commission and if anybody's [38:20] interested show up and I'll do office [38:22] hours when the hell Robin Hood [38:23] commercializes they commercialize your [38:26] your order flow and they make money [38:29] without charging your commissions but [38:32] it's a sort of wonderful app Millennials [38:34] love it 5 million members already so you [38:38] better believe de Shah and the [38:40] incumbents are worried about things like [38:41] that the startups are also more willing [38:44] to beg for forgiveness from regulators [38:46] they're willing to sort of take risks [38:48] and beg for forgiveness whereas [38:50] incumbents tend to have to ask for [38:53] permission so there's an unlevel field [38:55] that always it's a asymmetric business [39:00] set of risk about regulatory risk not [39:03] always I'm not like crying for JP Morgan [39:07] I mean the big incumbents have also they [39:11] have their advantages and coinbase is [39:14] becoming an incumbent rather than just a [39:16] you know startup in a sense and we'll [39:20] talk during the semester about some of [39:22] the incumbents where we're probably [39:25] going to get Jeff sprecher here in [39:27] mid-november he's going to talk to you [39:28] about what IntercontinentalExchange in [39:30] the New York Stock Exchange is doing [39:31] with Starbucks and Microsoft and the [39:33] like the financial sector use cases I'm [39:36] not going to go through these but this [39:37] is the second half of the course is [39:39] going to go through [39:40] each of these and we'll do one to two [39:42] sessions on each payment system central [39:44] bank digital currency secondary market [39:47] trading the venture capital and initial [39:51] coin offering space we'll do two a [39:53] course on that and move through so what [39:57] are we gonna do in this whole course [39:59] basically our goal is to learn the [40:02] fundamentals [40:03] it's about roughly the first half of the [40:05] course pivot to two sessions on the [40:08] economics we're gonna be talking about [40:10] the economics throughout the whole [40:11] course but I want to I want to really [40:13] just focus drill down on the economics [40:16] of 1/2 of the discussions and then riff [40:20] through the financial space for the [40:22] second yeah that's our journey together [40:26] to me it's for anybody who wants to gain [40:29] critical reasoning skills this is not [40:31] just kind of a hey this is going to [40:35] change the world and revolutionize [40:36] everything class and so I basically [40:41] think of an old Defense Department term [40:44] called ground truths it's when the [40:46] general doesn't really know what's going [40:48] on but needs to figure it out and needs [40:50] to talk to that you know that that [40:53] corporal on the ground who's got dirt [40:55] you know all over woman and it's been [40:58] shot up and says here's the real ground [41:00] truth we're gonna try to talk about [41:02] ground truth in this in this in this [41:04] class and separate the mere assertion [41:07] from the hype and some of your readings [41:09] will be some real Bitcoin and blockchain [41:13] minimalist from Nouriel Roubini that [41:16] uses words I'm not supposed to repeat on [41:19] a recording about this stuff to Paul [41:22] Krugman who and and Joe Stiglitz and [41:25] other Nobel laureates who say no it's [41:28] not gonna work or Warren Buffett to to [41:31] maximalists we're gonna we're gonna try [41:33] to cover both sides Larry Lessig is [41:37] honoring me because he's in the back of [41:38] the class who's an enormous Lee esteemed [41:42] professor from Harvard I didn't know [41:45] Larry was gonna be here and I did the [41:47] slide before but in 1999 I think you [41:49] wrote this book Larry is that right [41:54] code and other laws of cyberspace I put [41:56] you in though but I think it's [41:58] worthwhile to think about Larry's four [42:01] bits here and I don't know Larry if you [42:04] want to say anything but I'm gonna try [42:06] to infuse this course in just how you [42:08] think about this the tech we're at MIT [42:11] the technology and we're gonna get you a [42:14] lot of technology if you want more than [42:15] I can give you is is is a former finance [42:19] sort of type my whole life there's gonna [42:23] be a bunch of computer science people in [42:25] the class we're gonna hook and you up [42:28] together with the folks from the Media [42:30] Lab and see Sal and and try to connect [42:33] you to the technology side if you want [42:35] to swim deeper in that pond but the [42:38] technology really really matters and [42:41] that's why we are going to go through [42:43] hash functions and go through asymmetric [42:45] cryptography and so forth from a [42:48] business perspective markets matter why [42:52] is it that incumbents or startups or are [42:55] not doing this and that why is it ten [42:57] years in and nobody's got an [42:59] enterprise-wide solution yet to payments [43:02] that use block J the law matters the [43:05] public policy side matters and the forth [43:09] of Larry's layout social norms that's a [43:14] little harder for me to teach that's not [43:16] what this class is about but it is also [43:18] a flex all this it's not just the [43:20] technology the markets and the law so [43:23] it's not just a three-legged store it's [43:25] kind of a four legged stool how'd I do [43:26] Larry [43:29] I really didn't know Harry is gonna be [43:31] here so but I wanted to give you a [43:34] framework for how your faculty member [43:38] thinks and will be on this journey [43:41] together range of perspectives we're not [43:45] gonna be a Bitcoin minimalist or [43:46] maximalist I'm probably to be self [43:50] disclosed here a little bit center [43:53] minimalist on Bitcoin smart contract [43:58] minimalist max list I'm probably pretty [44:00] Center Larry's probably a little bit [44:03] center maximalist I'm guessing so you're [44:14] still you're still center or Center [44:16] minimalist what smart contracts and then [44:22] blockchain maximalist or minimalist I'd [44:25] say a few weeks ago I was kind of Center [44:28] maximalist and I'm sort of skidding back [44:30] to the middle permissioned blockchain [44:36] I'm a little bit more you know and [44:39] there's some in here Allah is one of [44:41] your Sloan cohort that you might know [44:45] six months ago when we met was working [44:47] on a permissionless system and now [44:51] you're working on a permission system [44:53] you have a startup yeah cuz like you've [44:56] bounced up into the market realities is [44:59] and we're gonna talk a lot in this [45:01] course about critical thinking about [45:03] when do you really need the advantage of [45:06] a decentralized peer-to-peer system [45:08] where the costs of trusts are such that [45:13] that's the right way to go but I am one [45:17] who thinks that there's also so much [45:18] economic rents in the financial system [45:21] that's that one and a half trillion [45:23] dollars of revenues or seven and a half [45:24] percent of our economy or just two [45:27] hundred billion in the payment systems [45:28] for instance that there may be times [45:30] that you don't really need a [45:32] decentralized system but it just might [45:35] be your opportunity to tuck in [45:37] underneath all of those economic rents [45:40] and all those revenues now in [45:43] Vince will react you poke an incumbent [45:47] commercially pokum I mean and they're [45:50] gonna react and that's why I think [45:51] blockchain may well be a catalyst for [45:54] change even if incumbents then adopt a [45:57] lot of that inside the requirements of [46:01] the course class participation is a hard [46:03] thing to judge is a faculty member when [46:05] I have this many people so but I always [46:08] think class participation matters we [46:12] made it 30% it which if you have any [46:18] advice on this a next semester [46:21] 30% to to individual write-ups one in [46:24] the first half which is up to I think [46:25] lecture 10 which is basically the [46:28] blockchain fundamentals you pick a topic [46:31] I don't care which one [46:32] but it's you'll get you'll get a much [46:34] better grade if it's about critical [46:36] reasoning if it's really taking whatever [46:39] those sets of writings are and and and [46:43] and and not just repeating that which is [46:46] in the readings but really going the [46:49] next step in saying here's what's going [46:51] on and this is a business goal you don't [46:54] have to you know convince me that you [46:57] know something about computer science [46:59] it's like critical reasoning about the [47:02] economic opportunities the strengths the [47:05] weaknesses the opportunities the threats [47:07] that old business school sort of saying [47:08] of swaths with regard to that week's [47:12] whether it's about hash functions early [47:14] on cryptography or you sort of wait [47:17] during the foundational period to [47:19] permission versus permissionless you [47:22] pick but to please hand it in before [47:25] that classes lecture because I might [47:28] during the lecture say who wrote today [47:29] do you want to tell us what you think [47:31] and it might help spur the class [47:33] participation and then a second write-up [47:36] in the second half when we're riffing [47:38] through the use cases again critical [47:42] reasoning and then lastly the usual [47:46] approach of teams of up to four no I [47:50] don't want teams of five [47:52] to handle that right now three or four [47:55] just and and and somewhere in the second [47:59] half of this semester we'll talk about [48:01] more the content and there's a couple of [48:04] you in here that worked with me last [48:06] semester and a smaller group you know I [48:10] want you to do well so I'm gonna sort of [48:12] give you a sense of like what do we want [48:14] to do but it's basically the idea is [48:16] you're an entrepreneur or you're an [48:18] incumbent and what sort of use case or [48:22] you're gonna pick and and and whether [48:24] it's permissioned or permissionless sort [48:27] of make a proposal do a use case use [48:30] your critical reasoning around this new [48:32] technology somewhere in the broad world [48:35] of finance [48:37] I mean you know and I'm glad that define [48:39] finance really broad you know you'll [48:42] pick so that's that's kind of a peace [48:46] act one or the fundamentals I won't go [48:50] through each of the pieces but you know [48:52] that's in the syllabus of course Act two [48:56] is the pivot of the economics and Act [49:00] three our financial sector use cases and [49:06] hopefully throughout law will have a lot [49:08] of fun so the study questions for next [49:11] Tuesday real quick what are the roles [49:15] and characteristics of money so I really [49:17] want to sort of dig behind money money [49:19] is but a social construct or a social [49:22] convention medium of exchange store [49:27] value unit of account there's some [49:30] readings about the debate whether money [49:33] first came from the border system or a [49:37] really good set of anthropologist and [49:40] and and and archaeologists and [49:42] everything say no it actually came as a [49:44] ledger system and no one knows for sure [49:46] at ten and fifteen thousand years ago [49:48] whether money came from the out of the [49:50] border system or more as a unit of [49:53] account keeping account of credits and [49:55] ledger but I'd say when you read through [49:58] some of those readings you start to [49:59] think well this is just a societal [50:01] construct and so that I will get behind [50:05] that what is [50:06] fiat currency fiat currency which is an [50:08] invention really only over the last few [50:10] hundred years and we take for granted [50:11] Dale but how does that fit into that [50:14] whole history and importantly how to [50:16] Ledger's accounting Ledger's I know [50:20] boring stuff but it's probably why we [50:23] came out of the dark ages so about five [50:25] or six hundred years ago with double [50:27] entry bookkeeping sorry hi I like [50:31] Ledger's we'll talk a little bit about [50:35] Ledger's and how that fits into money [50:37] and securities and so forth and then [50:41] layering in how Bitcoin fits on top of [50:44] that history next Tuesday is not deeply [50:47] about Bitcoin it's just a little dollop [50:49] on that there'll be five or six readings [50:53] one of them is a three-minute video the [50:56] third one it's fun watch it's just a [50:58] funny little video on what money is [51:02] there's no need to read nakamoto's full [51:05] paper when I said the email I mean just [51:07] the cover email it's one paragraph my [51:11] goal in the readings each week was not [51:12] an each session was by and Lord to try [51:15] to keep less than 50 pages you'd say [51:18] you're gonna look sometimes you go it [51:19] looks like it's more and maybe it is I [51:21] figure you're all gonna figure out for [51:24] yourself how to sort through the depth [51:27] of your knowledge but I will predict [51:29] that some of you may be as much as a [51:31] quarter or a third of you are gonna go [51:33] down a rabbit hole one day and you're [51:35] gonna be doing blockchain for the next [51:37] 48 hours and you won't know where the [51:40] time went because it is an addiction at [51:43] some point that some of you will get [51:45] because this is curious notion I'm not [51:49] predicting that infirmity for all of you [51:51] I'm just saying some of you will have [51:53] that happen to you so occasionally I [51:55] have readings just white a lot it's [51:57] happen to you let me just conclude and [52:02] then take any other questions and light [52:03] up their blockchain I think does provide [52:07] a peer-to-peer alternative I think that [52:09] I hope Larry I'll be able to convince it [52:12] does provide and that peer-to-peer [52:15] alternative addresses cost of trust it [52:18] doesn't mean it's the only way to [52:19] address [52:19] cost the trust but addresses cost a [52:21] trust the financial sector does have [52:25] challenges not just that it has [52:27] seven-and-a-half percent of our economy [52:29] in the US and similar ratios around the [52:32] globe but resilience how it survives [52:36] shocks the financial crisis and things [52:39] like that are real and inclusion one [52:43] point seven billion people unbanked but [52:45] then if you look at other products who [52:48] has access to credit cards and mortgages [52:50] and the like and then fiat currencies [52:53] Ken Rogoff and others have written a lot [52:56] about the instabilities that come that [52:58] fiat currencies and we'll talk about [53:00] some of the history why central bank's [53:02] exist and how they they came about next [53:07] key point is we already live in an [53:09] electronic age Satoshi Nakamoto and [53:11] Bitcoin didn't create electronic cash [53:15] electronic cash I mean Sandra Bullock [53:19] couldn't pay electronically that was [53:22] 1995 they did a sort of berated movie [53:26] about it all but by today you pay your [53:30] tuition online those of you who work get [53:34] paid online you pay your auto loans [53:37] online most of our lives are electronic [53:43] cash not a hundred percent but in some [53:46] countries like Sweden it's getting very [53:49] close to a hundred percent we'll learn [53:53] together and discover that monies but a [53:56] social and economic consensus blockchain [54:02] technology along the crypto finance [54:03] might be a catalyst for change and [54:05] they're much masquerades as fact but [54:10] it's only mere assertion we're gonna try [54:12] to sort through you know that those [54:15] differences that doesn't mean that all [54:17] of you are gonna walk out agreeing with [54:19] Paul Krugman a Nobel laureate or Nouriel [54:22] Roubini that this is just a bunch of [54:25] nonsense some of you might by the way [54:29] but but I think you'll come out with [54:31] real critical [54:33] thinking skills and I hope that some of [54:35] you will say I figured out actually [54:37] where there's a real opportunity in the [54:40] world of finance to use blockchain [54:42] technology and make it a better [54:45] financial sector democratizing finance [54:49] or somehow providing a service at a [54:52] lower cost of better service throughout [54:55] I hope throughout that we'll learn [54:58] together and we'll have a bit of fun [55:00] along the way [55:00] that's kind of my thoughts questions we [55:04] have exactly what 18 minutes there you [55:10] go but we can cut it short - I don't [55:12] care there we go did you tell me your [55:16] name and we're gonna do placards Ryan's [55:18] gonna work to figure out you do placards [55:20] cuz it's I wonder how our team's form [55:30] traditionally anybody it's slow and can [55:33] speak to this too but students do it [55:35] their own so that the faculty doesn't [55:38] sort of try to insert themselves to help [55:40] you but we tend towards the latter half [55:43] and say well who's formed up in groups [55:46] and when you know if it's a smaller [55:49] group it's like well anybody has not yet [55:50] formed in a team why don't you move to [55:52] the left hand side of the room and just [55:54] get together but we could do that [55:55] electronically - and you know whether [55:58] talita and Sabrina who you know good [56:01] help Internet [56:02] basically have a social network to help [56:05] form the teams because this is a big [56:08] group you're right but that's [56:09] traditionally people those students do [56:11] it on their own [56:13] other questions is anybody gonna go out [56:17] and sell their Bitcoin now Larry what [56:23] why are you here [56:28] no no let to the whole feel and you're [56:41] incredibly informed about the finance [56:43] side so I want to see the combination of [56:45] those and whether at the end I am [56:49] convinced there's a there there as we've [56:51] spoken because I could radically change [56:54] the cost of trust around the world [56:57] benefit the developing nation [56:59] substantially but I think there's a lot [57:02] of questions I still have I thank you [57:08] for coming in any week you could be here [57:10] any day we benefit and I hope it's [57:12] really this is meant to be a [57:14] conversation I'm not that far ahead of [57:16] you Simon Johnson approached me last [57:18] October and said what do you think about [57:19] coming up to MIT and and Tom knows this [57:23] story and and and we were sitting down [57:24] for lunch in DC and it was a good time [57:28] in my life my three girls I have three [57:30] daughters and I'm a single dad and they [57:33] were two were in grad school and one our [57:36] undergrad it was a good time in my life [57:37] I said why not you know come up here and [57:40] get engaged in this digital currency [57:43] initiative over at the Media Lab and [57:45] I've spent a life I was 18 years ago mid [57:48] sax on the investment banking side [57:50] helping people buy and sell companies [57:52] called mergers and acquisitions and then [57:54] I went to the trading side fixed income [57:56] and went off to Asia and did a bunch of [57:59] I ran the fixed incoming currency and [58:01] swap trading in Asia and then my last [58:04] job was the co Finance Officer so we [58:07] were about a quarter of a trillion [58:09] dollar balance sheet at that time go [58:11] goldman sachs this is we were so private [58:14] which meant if we lost money we were [58:16] personally I was a general partner was [58:18] kaput that's a technical word and but we [58:24] had we had 700 legal entities and one [58:28] thousand people who could commit the [58:30] capital of the firm those are people we [58:33] generally call traders but you know is a [58:37] fascinating period of time I then went [58:39] on to [58:40] public service because Bob Rubin knew [58:42] that I'd be a soft touch - it's a [58:44] service [58:45] he was the Treasury secretary I was a [58:47] former partner at Goldman Sachs and I [58:49] went off to the US Treasury as a [58:51] assistant secretary and undersecretary [58:53] in the late 90s a little different times [58:55] than we have now for many reasons but we [58:58] were paying down the debt we were [59:00] dealing with the Asian debt crisis [59:02] long-term capital management that [59:04] Russian debt crisis is it was sort of a [59:06] fascinating period of time I worked on a [59:10] bill with John McCain I didn't get to [59:13] know Senator McCain that well but it was [59:16] just remarkable to work with even for a [59:18] short period of time called ie signature [59:20] it was a bill that basically said you [59:22] can sign everything electronically and [59:24] he was the chair of the Senate Commerce [59:26] Committee at the time I was a wonderful [59:27] little yes sometimes in government you [59:30] can work on small things I worked on the [59:32] redesign of the currency and I could [59:35] tell you stories about why it looks the [59:36] way it does and how you can redesign [59:38] paper currency and for a future lecture [59:43] I'll tell you the one design feature [59:44] that I it's still in the currency and [59:47] you can visually say it's because and [59:50] when I asked for it the fella that [59:52] rather Bureau of Engraving said why and [59:54] I said because it looks better and I'm [59:56] the guy that's approving it and maybe [59:57] could we get it done can we work this [59:59] out and and it did look better and he [01:00:02] loved it he was worried about the [01:00:03] political risk of doing it it was a [01:00:05] better design he just was I said I'll [01:00:08] cover you politically let's do it but [01:00:11] then I worked with Paul sarbanes and [01:00:13] what became sore Baines Oxley I was his [01:00:15] senior advisor I worked and kicked [01:00:18] around some political campaigns we lost [01:00:20] two of them that would be the o8 Hillary [01:00:22] campaign and the 16 Hillary campaign I [01:00:24] was her chief financial officer I was in [01:00:27] a way the senior advisor doing economic [01:00:30] policy and outreach and hand-holding and [01:00:35] and and then in the middle of those two [01:00:40] campaigns I ran something called the [01:00:42] Commodity Futures Trading Commission [01:00:43] which was post-crisis what do we do this [01:00:47] is a real public policy shortcoming [01:00:51] and and I looked at as an opportunity to [01:00:53] as I said democratize finance a bit and [01:00:56] lower risk and so we tried to bring [01:00:58] transparency to a three or four hundred [01:01:00] trillion dollar market caught swaps [01:01:03] which are just contracts for [01:01:06] transference of risk and in their form [01:01:09] of a derivative that that were [01:01:11] unregulated and we were trying to bring [01:01:13] transparency to that and lower risk [01:01:14] through central clearing so that's sort [01:01:18] of my professional life and as I said I [01:01:20] got three daughters and they they're [01:01:22] well situated so when Simon said come on [01:01:24] up I said great and I love MIT it's just [01:01:27] terrific and and you you all are great [01:01:32] unless there's other questions I'm gonna [01:01:33] let you go early I [01:01:38] [Applause] [01:01:49] you